Up 16 Trumps 17 Trumps 18 Trumps 19 Trumps 10 10 Trumps 11 9 Trumps 21 Trumps
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- The first finding is that the law is almost exact for total trumps
of 18. It's accuracy is very good all the way from 16 to 20.
But for practical purpose it is very good
for up to 21 total trumps. There is very little difference between 19 to 21 hcp, 18 to 22 hcp, 17 to 23 hcp and 16 to 24 hcp. Obviously this apply
only to the total # of tricks make by both side. The side that has more hcp is
going to make more tricks in the long run.
Here is the summary results base on double dummy analysis and Okbridge player
results.
total # of trumps |
double dummy result |
Adjustment from Okbridge data |
Best estimate for LOTT |
16 |
16.16 |
0.24 |
16.4 |
17 |
17.03 |
0.2 |
17.23 |
18 |
17.8 |
0.16 |
17.96 |
19 |
18.6 |
0.11 |
18.71 |
20 |
19.4 |
0.05 |
19.45 |
21 |
19.85 |
0.08 |
19.93 |
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